NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring BYU UVU
Points 80.8 62.6
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 13.3
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.8
Shooting BYU UVU
Field Goals Made 28.8 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 57.9
Field Goal % 46.7% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 43.9%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 27.2%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.6
Free Throw % 72.5% 65.3%
Ball Control BYU UVU
Rebounds 41.2 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 31.0 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 7.8
Turnovers 9.3 10.4
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.9
Steals 5.9 5.2
Fouls 16.1 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BYU UVU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 69.3
% of Possessions with BYU UVU
2 Point Attempt 40.3% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 20.1%
Player Fouled 20.6% 22.3%
Turnover 12.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken BYU UVU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 20.1%