NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST TAM
Points 71.8 80.0
Total Points   151.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 28.4 20.4
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.1
Shooting OKST TAM
Field Goals Made 24.6 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 65.8
Field Goal % 44.4% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 43.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 21.2
Free Throw % 71.2% 71.3%
Ball Control OKST TAM
Rebounds 32.3 41.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 15.7
Turnovers 11.6 7.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.6
Steals 3.6 7.9
Fouls 15.5 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST TAM
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 78.9
% of Possessions with OKST TAM
2 Point Attempt 33.0% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 36.7% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 22.0%
Turnover 16.5% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 11.2% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST TAM
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 39.2%