NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO USU
Points 69.3 81.0
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 45.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 21.0
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.9
Shooting WYO USU
Field Goals Made 23.7 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 57.5
Field Goal % 41.8% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 22.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 61.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.6
Free Throw % 75.2% 72.5%
Ball Control WYO USU
Rebounds 31.0 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 8.4
Turnovers 10.4 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.4 4.8
Steals 4.5 6.9
Fouls 15.4 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO USU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 70.3
% of Possessions with WYO USU
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 25.8%
Player Fouled 23.7% 21.8%
Turnover 14.7% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO USU
Shot Blocked 8.4% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 26.9%