NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO SDSU
Points 65.1 78.0
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.6 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 23.4
Points From Free Throws 16.0 14.5
Shooting WYO SDSU
Field Goals Made 20.8 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 59.0
Field Goal % 38.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.1% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 19.7
Free Throw % 75.2% 73.7%
Ball Control WYO SDSU
Rebounds 31.5 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 11.7
Turnovers 11.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.3
Steals 4.5 8.2
Fouls 15.2 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO SDSU
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 71.7
% of Possessions with WYO SDSU
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 29.2%
Player Fouled 25.4% 22.1%
Turnover 17.0% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO SDSU
Shot Blocked 9.1% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 34.2%