NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST BAY
Points 68.9 81.0
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 43.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 23.5
Points From Free Throws 13.0 14.3
Shooting OKST BAY
Field Goals Made 24.2 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 53.9 57.3
Field Goal % 45.0% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.6
Free Throw % 71.2% 73.1%
Ball Control OKST BAY
Rebounds 27.7 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 10.1
Turnovers 11.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.0
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 15.8 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST BAY
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 69.6
% of Possessions with OKST BAY
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 24.9%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.8%
Turnover 16.5% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST BAY
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 32.8%