NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO BSU
Points 67.0 79.7
Total Points   146.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 26.5
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.1
Shooting WYO BSU
Field Goals Made 22.7 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 58.8
Field Goal % 44.0% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.0
Free Throw % 75.2% 74.3%
Ball Control WYO BSU
Rebounds 28.5 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 11.2
Turnovers 11.0 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.2
Steals 4.0 6.4
Fouls 14.2 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO BSU
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 70.8
% of Possessions with WYO BSU
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 30.6%
Player Fouled 25.5% 20.7%
Turnover 16.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO BSU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 33.8%