NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS SAM
Points 77.7 76.1
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 25.1
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 35.9
Points From Free Throws 19.3 15.0
Shooting MCNS SAM
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 53.3
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 12.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 22.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 30.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 19.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.0 21.2
Free Throw % 69.1% 70.7%
Ball Control MCNS SAM
Rebounds 34.6 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 9.1
Turnovers 11.1 15.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.3
Steals 9.5 5.6
Fouls 18.6 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS SAM
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 66.6
% of Possessions with MCNS SAM
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 27.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 36.7%
Player Fouled 25.7% 25.6%
Turnover 15.4% 20.7%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 13.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS SAM
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 33.1% 28.3%