NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS NICH
Points 79.4 67.0
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 22.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 29.9
Points From Free Throws 19.2 14.5
Shooting MCNS NICH
Field Goals Made 26.5 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 51.0
Field Goal % 47.4% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 11.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 24.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 19.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 27.8 20.1
Free Throw % 69.1% 72.4%
Ball Control MCNS NICH
Rebounds 35.3 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.3
Turnovers 8.3 15.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.1
Steals 9.3 4.5
Fouls 16.4 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Nicholls

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS NICH
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 63.4
% of Possessions with MCNS NICH
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 30.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 33.4%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.4%
Turnover 11.8% 21.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 13.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS NICH
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 25.5%