NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS NEB
Points 71.9 75.5
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 23.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 36.4
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.3
Shooting MCNS NEB
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 54.2
Field Goal % 41.2% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 11.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 21.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 12.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 33.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 20.2
Free Throw % 69.1% 76.0%
Ball Control MCNS NEB
Rebounds 34.9 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.4
Turnovers 8.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.4
Steals 7.9 4.2
Fouls 16.2 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS NEB
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 66.8
% of Possessions with MCNS NEB
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 26.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 40.9%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.1%
Turnover 12.4% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS NEB
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 28.7%