NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST COFC
Points 75.2 77.9
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.7 27.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 10.7
Shooting OKST COFC
Field Goals Made 26.8 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 64.2
Field Goal % 47.1% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 13.3 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 14.9
Free Throw % 71.2% 72.3%
Ball Control OKST COFC
Rebounds 34.0 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 11.2
Turnovers 10.9 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.9
Steals 5.6 6.9
Fouls 13.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST COFC
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 73.5
% of Possessions with OKST COFC
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 31.4%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.5%
Turnover 15.3% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST COFC
Shot Blocked 4.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 30.0%