NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO BYU
Points 64.8 81.8
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 28.4
Points From Free Throws 9.9 16.6
Shooting WYO BYU
Field Goals Made 23.0 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.0
Field Goal % 40.9% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 63.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.3 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 9.9 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 23.1
Free Throw % 64.3% 71.5%
Ball Control WYO BYU
Rebounds 29.4 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 9.1
Turnovers 11.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.2
Steals 3.7 6.7
Fouls 17.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO BYU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 68.3
% of Possessions with WYO BYU
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 31.6%
Player Fouled 22.4% 25.3%
Turnover 16.9% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO BYU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 30.2%