NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS WYO
Points 76.7 69.7
Total Points   146.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 25.4
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 28.2
Points From Free Throws 13.9 16.1
Shooting MCNS WYO
Field Goals Made 27.5 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 50.3
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 24.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.9 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.5
Free Throw % 69.1% 75.2%
Ball Control MCNS WYO
Rebounds 32.5 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.7
Turnovers 8.1 13.6
Blocked Shots 4.1 2.1
Steals 9.5 3.5
Fouls 18.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS WYO
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 63.5
% of Possessions with MCNS WYO
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 31.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 32.6%
Player Fouled 21.5% 27.5%
Turnover 11.8% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 13.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS WYO
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 28.3%