NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO AFA
Points 73.1 70.3
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 29.8
Points From Free Throws 18.5 9.4
Shooting WYO AFA
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 49.1 53.6
Field Goal % 48.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 15.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 26.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 40.6% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 18.5 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 13.7
Free Throw % 75.2% 68.7%
Ball Control WYO AFA
Rebounds 31.9 27.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 20.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 7.3
Turnovers 10.4 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.4
Steals 4.6 6.9
Fouls 13.5 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Air Force

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO AFA
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 62.3
% of Possessions with WYO AFA
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 36.3%
Player Fouled 27.4% 20.6%
Turnover 15.9% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO AFA
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 23.8%