NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST MARQ
Points 65.9 81.4
Total Points   147.4
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.1 25.2
Points From Free Throws 11.3 10.0
Shooting OKST MARQ
Field Goals Made 23.0 31.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 60.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 61.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.2 22.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 11.3 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 14.5
Free Throw % 71.2% 68.8%
Ball Control OKST MARQ
Rebounds 33.1 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 7.9
Turnovers 13.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.8
Steals 5.3 9.2
Fouls 13.1 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST MARQ
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 69.2
% of Possessions with OKST MARQ
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 28.5%
Player Fouled 18.2% 18.7%
Turnover 19.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST MARQ
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 25.2%