NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST CONN
Points 58.6 83.3
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.4 47.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.1 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.9
Shooting OKST CONN
Field Goals Made 19.9 31.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 59.3
Field Goal % 35.8% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.2 23.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 62.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.2
Free Throw % 71.2% 75.1%
Ball Control OKST CONN
Rebounds 28.3 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.4
Turnovers 10.3 8.3
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.4
Steals 4.7 6.6
Fouls 14.2 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST CONN
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 70.0
% of Possessions with OKST CONN
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 27.3%
Player Fouled 21.1% 21.0%
Turnover 15.1% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST CONN
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 34.1%