NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS AMCC
Points 75.1 64.0
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 29.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 19.3
Points From Free Throws 20.1 15.1
Shooting MCNS AMCC
Field Goals Made 24.4 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 54.8
Field Goal % 47.7% 38.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 20.1 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 29.0 21.1
Free Throw % 69.1% 71.6%
Ball Control MCNS AMCC
Rebounds 33.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.4
Turnovers 10.1 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.6
Steals 8.2 5.4
Fouls 16.7 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-CC

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS AMCC
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 68.1
% of Possessions with MCNS AMCC
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 25.8%
Player Fouled 28.8% 23.8%
Turnover 14.4% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS AMCC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 31.2%