NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST KU
Points 66.5 78.6
Total Points   145.2
Points From 2-Pointers 26.4 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 15.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 11.4
Shooting OKST KU
Field Goals Made 22.3 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 59.3
Field Goal % 39.3% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 43.8
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 15.9
Free Throw % 71.2% 71.4%
Ball Control OKST KU
Rebounds 31.0 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 7.8
Turnovers 11.5 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.7
Steals 5.6 7.9
Fouls 13.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST KU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 69.1
% of Possessions with OKST KU
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 19.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 19.2%
Turnover 16.1% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST KU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 25.3%