NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS SELA
Points 78.1 61.4
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 21.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.8 27.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 12.9
Shooting MCNS SELA
Field Goals Made 27.2 19.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 49.8
Field Goal % 47.9% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 10.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 23.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 45.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 26.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 14.3 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 17.5
Free Throw % 69.1% 74.0%
Ball Control MCNS SELA
Rebounds 33.6 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.4
Turnovers 8.4 15.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.8
Steals 8.9 4.4
Fouls 15.0 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS SELA
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 61.4
% of Possessions with MCNS SELA
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 30.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 33.2%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.1%
Turnover 12.5% 23.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 13.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS SELA
Shot Blocked 3.6% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 29.1%