NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS TAMCOM
Points 80.9 60.4
Total Points   141.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 19.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 28.3
Points From Free Throws 19.3 12.6
Shooting MCNS TAMCOM
Field Goals Made 27.6 19.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 54.4
Field Goal % 48.9% 35.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 9.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 22.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 42.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 19.3 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 27.9 18.1
Free Throw % 69.1% 69.6%
Ball Control MCNS TAMCOM
Rebounds 41.7 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.9 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.1
Turnovers 9.2 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.8
Steals 7.2 4.7
Fouls 14.9 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: TX A&M-Com

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS TAMCOM
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 65.4
% of Possessions with MCNS TAMCOM
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 28.2%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 39.5%
Player Fouled 24.0% 21.0%
Turnover 13.1% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS TAMCOM
Shot Blocked 7.2% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 34.9% 21.3%