NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST TEX
Points 66.3 77.9
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 47.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 19.2
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.6
Shooting OKST TEX
Field Goals Made 22.8 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 59.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 15.1
Free Throw % 71.2% 76.5%
Ball Control OKST TEX
Rebounds 31.3 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.7
Turnovers 12.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.2
Steals 5.2 7.8
Fouls 13.7 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST TEX
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 69.1
% of Possessions with OKST TEX
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.7%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.7%
Turnover 17.6% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST TEX
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 27.6%