NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST UTA
Points 73.4 74.7
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 23.9
Points From Free Throws 17.9 13.7
Shooting OKST UTA
Field Goals Made 23.8 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 58.0
Field Goal % 44.4% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 17.9 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 18.6
Free Throw % 71.2% 73.6%
Ball Control OKST UTA
Rebounds 32.9 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.2
Turnovers 12.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 6.3 7.8
Fouls 16.0 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: TX-Arlington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST UTA
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 69.9
% of Possessions with OKST UTA
2 Point Attempt 36.7% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 27.4%
Player Fouled 25.6% 22.0%
Turnover 17.5% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST UTA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 29.8%