NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST WVU
Points 74.1 74.0
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.2 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.8 21.6
Points From Free Throws 13.1 12.5
Shooting OKST WVU
Field Goals Made 25.4 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 56.7
Field Goal % 43.8% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 27.7 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.1 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 17.8
Free Throw % 71.2% 70.4%
Ball Control OKST WVU
Rebounds 33.6 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 8.0
Turnovers 10.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.2
Steals 6.6 5.1
Fouls 15.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST WVU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 67.6
% of Possessions with OKST WVU
2 Point Attempt 34.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 37.3% 24.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 22.1%
Turnover 14.9% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST WVU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 24.5%