NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS NORL
Points 85.2 62.9
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 45.9 29.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 17.6
Points From Free Throws 19.5 15.8
Shooting MCNS NORL
Field Goals Made 29.5 20.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.6
Field Goal % 51.6% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 14.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 33.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 40.5% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 19.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 28.2 22.3
Free Throw % 69.1% 70.6%
Ball Control MCNS NORL
Rebounds 39.3 29.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 20.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 9.6
Turnovers 9.5 13.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.2
Steals 7.9 4.6
Fouls 18.8 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS NORL
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.7 67.3
% of Possessions with MCNS NORL
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 24.4%
Player Fouled 25.9% 26.3%
Turnover 13.3% 19.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS NORL
Shot Blocked 6.0% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 38.3% 26.4%