NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS ULL
Points 73.9 68.5
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 31.1
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 24.5
Points From Free Throws 19.0 12.8
Shooting MCNS ULL
Field Goals Made 24.9 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 56.1
Field Goal % 46.3% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 29.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 26.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 19.0 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 27.5 17.4
Free Throw % 69.1% 73.6%
Ball Control MCNS ULL
Rebounds 35.0 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.6
Turnovers 10.8 13.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.4
Steals 8.6 5.3
Fouls 15.4 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: McNeese St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS ULL
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 67.4
% of Possessions with MCNS ULL
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 25.1% 21.9%
Turnover 15.3% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS ULL
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 30.7%