NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS SEA
Points 71.5 68.4
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 25.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 28.7
Points From Free Throws 15.8 14.2
Shooting MCNS SEA
Field Goals Made 24.9 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 53.3
Field Goal % 44.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 12.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 25.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 15.8 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 19.1
Free Throw % 69.1% 74.7%
Ball Control MCNS SEA
Rebounds 33.0 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.1
Turnovers 8.8 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.5
Steals 7.8 3.8
Fouls 16.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Seattle

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS SEA
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 65.6
% of Possessions with MCNS SEA
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 31.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 34.9%
Player Fouled 24.6% 24.3%
Turnover 12.7% 19.8%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS SEA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 30.0%