NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MCNS UTM
Points 83.4 72.7
Total Points   156.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 25.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 32.4
Points From Free Throws 14.2 14.6
Shooting MCNS UTM
Field Goals Made 30.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 57.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 12.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 27.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 10.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.8 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 14.2 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 19.3
Free Throw % 69.1% 75.6%
Ball Control MCNS UTM
Rebounds 36.9 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.3
Turnovers 6.6 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.4
Steals 8.2 3.4
Fouls 16.0 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MCNS UTM
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.1 69.2
% of Possessions with MCNS UTM
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 32.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.7% 36.1%
Player Fouled 19.9% 22.0%
Turnover 9.1% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MCNS UTM
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 25.9%