NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST OKLA
Points 68.3 76.3
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 20.7
Points From Free Throws 13.4 13.5
Shooting OKST OKLA
Field Goals Made 24.0 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 56.9
Field Goal % 43.4% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.9% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 18.3
Free Throw % 71.2% 73.5%
Ball Control OKST OKLA
Rebounds 30.4 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.9
Turnovers 10.7 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 6.1 6.3
Fouls 15.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST OKLA
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 68.2
% of Possessions with OKST OKLA
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 24.6%
Player Fouled 21.0% 22.0%
Turnover 15.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 28.1%