NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO SJSU
Points 75.8 71.5
Total Points   147.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 27.2
Points From Free Throws 16.9 7.9
Shooting WYO SJSU
Field Goals Made 25.4 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.4 58.4
Field Goal % 47.6% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 25.8
3 Point Shooting % 41.7% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 7.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 11.5
Free Throw % 75.2% 68.6%
Ball Control WYO SJSU
Rebounds 35.2 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 6.7
Turnovers 9.6 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.8
Steals 3.7 5.4
Fouls 11.9 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: San Jose St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO SJSU
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 65.5
% of Possessions with WYO SJSU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 34.4%
Player Fouled 25.0% 17.6%
Turnover 14.3% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO SJSU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 20.3%