NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO ARIZ
Points 68.3 90.6
Total Points   158.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 50.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 24.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 15.7
Shooting WYO ARIZ
Field Goals Made 23.6 33.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 62.5
Field Goal % 40.2% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 61.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 22.1
Free Throw % 75.2% 71.0%
Ball Control WYO ARIZ
Rebounds 28.2 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 12.1
Turnovers 12.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.1
Steals 4.8 9.0
Fouls 15.6 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO ARIZ
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 76.5
% of Possessions with WYO ARIZ
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 24.9%
Player Fouled 22.1% 21.1%
Turnover 16.7% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 12.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO ARIZ
Shot Blocked 8.2% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 36.7%