NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO NEV
Points 65.6 76.8
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 27.8 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.3
Points From Free Throws 16.9 15.9
Shooting WYO NEV
Field Goals Made 20.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 53.7
Field Goal % 40.1% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 16.9 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 22.4
Free Throw % 75.2% 71.2%
Ball Control WYO NEV
Rebounds 30.8 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.4
Turnovers 10.9 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.5 4.2
Steals 3.9 6.9
Fouls 17.7 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO NEV
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 67.6
% of Possessions with WYO NEV
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 25.6%
Player Fouled 26.7% 26.0%
Turnover 16.1% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO NEV
Shot Blocked 7.9% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 27.2%