NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK UNCO
Points 77.8 87.9
Total Points   165.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 49.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 27.4
Points From Free Throws 12.7 11.0
Shooting SDAK UNCO
Field Goals Made 28.2 33.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 65.2
Field Goal % 46.9% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 24.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 39.9% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 14.7
Free Throw % 76.4% 74.6%
Ball Control SDAK UNCO
Rebounds 33.5 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 7.5
Turnovers 10.8 6.8
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.8
Steals 3.1 6.1
Fouls 12.9 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK UNCO
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 74.2
% of Possessions with SDAK UNCO
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 29.6%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.6%
Turnover 14.7% 9.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 4.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK UNCO
Shot Blocked 4.4% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.8% 22.3%