NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK DRKE
Points 70.1 90.9
Total Points   161.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 46.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 29.2
Points From Free Throws 12.6 15.2
Shooting SDAK DRKE
Field Goals Made 25.1 33.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 63.1
Field Goal % 44.2% 52.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 48.6% 60.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 12.6 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 20.3
Free Throw % 76.4% 74.8%
Ball Control SDAK DRKE
Rebounds 31.6 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.3
Turnovers 12.7 5.8
Blocked Shots 1.0 2.0
Steals 2.6 6.7
Fouls 15.4 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK DRKE
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 75.4
% of Possessions with SDAK DRKE
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.9% 21.2%
Turnover 17.4% 7.9%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 3.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK DRKE
Shot Blocked 3.2% 1.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 25.1%