NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK CCU
Points 79.9 82.5
Total Points   162.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 47.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.0 22.6
Points From Free Throws 14.0 12.4
Shooting SDAK CCU
Field Goals Made 27.8 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.5 65.3
Field Goal % 44.4% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 23.7
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.0 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 17.9
Free Throw % 76.4% 69.4%
Ball Control SDAK CCU
Rebounds 35.7 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.9 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 10.5
Turnovers 9.4 8.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.0
Steals 3.8 5.5
Fouls 13.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK CCU
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 76.6
% of Possessions with SDAK CCU
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 51.8%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 24.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 18.5%
Turnover 12.7% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK CCU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 28.0%