NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK WIU
Points 70.2 77.0
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 21.0
Points From Free Throws 11.3 11.5
Shooting SDAK WIU
Field Goals Made 26.1 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 66.1
Field Goal % 42.2% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 46.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 11.3 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 18.4
Free Throw % 76.4% 62.4%
Ball Control SDAK WIU
Rebounds 33.8 44.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 15.9
Turnovers 9.2 7.8
Blocked Shots 1.4 5.7
Steals 3.5 5.0
Fouls 13.7 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK WIU
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 78.3
% of Possessions with SDAK WIU
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 23.0%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.5%
Turnover 13.1% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 5.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK WIU
Shot Blocked 8.7% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 38.9%