NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK STT
Points 69.2 79.9
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 30.8
Points From Free Throws 11.2 11.7
Shooting SDAK STT
Field Goals Made 25.3 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 58.5
Field Goal % 48.3% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 59.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 27.2
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 11.2 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 16.3
Free Throw % 76.4% 71.9%
Ball Control SDAK STT
Rebounds 31.3 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 7.2
Turnovers 12.3 6.4
Blocked Shots 1.1 2.0
Steals 2.6 6.3
Fouls 14.6 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: South Dakota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK STT
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 61.6 68.5
% of Possessions with SDAK STT
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 36.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 21.7%
Turnover 18.2% 9.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 3.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK STT
Shot Blocked 3.5% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 22.4%