NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV DART
Points 68.9 60.6
Total Points   129.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 28.1
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 23.3
Points From Free Throws 11.4 9.1
Shooting HARV DART
Field Goals Made 24.5 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 55.6
Field Goal % 43.0% 39.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 11.4 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 13.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 66.3%
Ball Control HARV DART
Rebounds 35.9 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.6 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 7.4
Turnovers 8.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.2
Steals 7.2 4.3
Fouls 12.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV DART
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 63.7
% of Possessions with HARV DART
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 30.9%
Player Fouled 19.6% 19.1%
Turnover 13.1% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HARV DART
Shot Blocked 7.8% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 20.5%