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Alabama vs. Gonzaga
Sat Dec 4, 2021
8:00pm ET
Seattle, WA
(Neutral Site)
Alabama vs. Gonzaga: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Gonzaga by 9.5, Total Points: 164.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | GONZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-5-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| Away | 10-11-0 | 11-9-0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
Gonzaga Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Yale | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Eastern Oregon | -- | W by 66 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 19 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -27.5 | W by 16 | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | USC | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -33.0 | W by 40 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Washington | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Miss Val St | -41.5 | W by 38 | -3.5 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Connecticut | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Jackson St | -26.5 | W by 24 | -2.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | San Diego St | -6.5 | L by 10 | -16.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Pepperdine | -21.0 | W by 26 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | San Diego | -24.0 | W by 27 | +3.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Santa Clara | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Pepperdine | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | San Diego | -18.0 | W by 42 | +24.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | San Francisco | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Pacific | -24.5 | W by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -14.5 | W by 34 | +19.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | St Marys | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Portland | -28.5 | W by 32 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kentucky | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Pacific | -31.0 | W by 26 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Portland | -22.0 | W by 21 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Santa Clara | -15.5 | W by 13 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | San Francisco | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | St Marys | +3.5 | W by 13 | +16.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | San Francisco | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | St Marys | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Kansas | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Purdue | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| GONZ -9.5 | Open | -8.0 | High | -10.0 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2071 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8.5 to 10.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Gonzaga won the game 1721 times (83.1%).
- The team like Alabama won the game 350 times (16.9%).
- The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 1027-1012-32 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1615 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Gonzaga did better against the spread, going 846-743-26 (53.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -10.0 | -9.5 | -9.5 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -9.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/04 07:58 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:46 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:07 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:46 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 12/04 04:05 PM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 12/04 03:52 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 03:05 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 12/04 02:55 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:02 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:14 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 12/04 11:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 12/04 11:05 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:59 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 09:13 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:54 AM | -- | -10.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:37 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
| 12/04 08:16 AM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 07:25 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 06:04 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 12/04 03:43 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 02:15 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/04 01:28 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:49 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 12/03 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -9.5 |
| 12/03 09:52 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:44 PM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 12/03 08:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/03 06:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/03 06:05 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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