NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA UGA
Points 91.9 78.5
Total Points   170.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.0 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 22.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 18.9
Shooting ALA UGA
Field Goals Made 32.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 66.8 60.7
Field Goal % 48.6% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.8 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 26.4
Free Throw % 76.9% 71.6%
Ball Control ALA UGA
Rebounds 41.5 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.1
Turnovers 10.3 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.3
Steals 6.3 6.4
Fouls 18.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Alabama

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA UGA
Total Possessions 77.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.3 76.0
% of Possessions with ALA UGA
2 Point Attempt 38.3% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 27.3%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.3%
Turnover 13.3% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA UGA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.5% 23.5%