NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA IONA
Points 92.5 69.8
Total Points   162.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.0 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.8 22.7
Points From Free Throws 19.7 13.3
Shooting ALA IONA
Field Goals Made 30.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 63.8
Field Goal % 54.5% 38.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 27.6 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 70.5% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 19.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 25.8 20.1
Free Throw % 76.4% 66.3%
Ball Control ALA IONA
Rebounds 43.4 28.5
Rebounds - Defensive 32.4 18.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.3
Turnovers 12.5 9.2
Blocked Shots 5.0 3.0
Steals 5.4 8.0
Fouls 14.9 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Iona

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA IONA
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 75.3
% of Possessions with ALA IONA
2 Point Attempt 32.0% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 28.9%
Player Fouled 26.0% 20.1%
Turnover 16.9% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA IONA
Shot Blocked 4.9% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 37.6% 24.1%