NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA OKLA
Points 86.0 79.1
Total Points   165.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 20.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 19.8
Shooting ALA OKLA
Field Goals Made 29.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 58.4
Field Goal % 47.9% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 16.4 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 26.9
Free Throw % 76.4% 73.5%
Ball Control ALA OKLA
Rebounds 36.3 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 10.1
Turnovers 9.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 3.1
Steals 6.6 5.5
Fouls 18.3 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA OKLA
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 74.3
% of Possessions with ALA OKLA
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 25.4%
Player Fouled 22.6% 24.5%
Turnover 13.1% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 28.1%