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Alabama vs. Michigan St
Thu Nov 24, 2022
10:30pm ET
Portland, OR
(Neutral Site)
Alabama vs. Michigan St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 5, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ALA | adv | MSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 19-15-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 11-5-0 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-11-0 | 8-8-1 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Morehead St | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Indiana St | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | S Alabama | -20.5 | W by 56 | +35.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Mercer | -30.5 | W by 31 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Ohio St | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Oregon | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | Clemson | -8.0 | L by 8 | -16.0 |
| 12/04 | Home | Arkansas St | -25.5 | W by 24 | -1.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona | +7.0 | L by 13 | -6.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | E Kentucky | -23.5 | W by 44 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Liberty | -9.5 | W by 45 | +35.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 3 | -10.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | S Carolina | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Miss State | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri | -14.5 | W by 18 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Tennessee | +5.5 | L by 20 | -14.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Auburn | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | LSU | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Georgia | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Miss State | -8.5 | W by 32 | +23.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Auburn | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | LSU | -8.5 | W by 17 | +8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas A&M | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Florida | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Mississippi | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Tennessee | -4.5 | L by 7 | -11.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Florida | +2.5 | L by 18 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Arkansas | -15.5 | W by 4 | -11.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Florida | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -8.0 | W by 13 | +5.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Clemson | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Connecticut | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
| ALA -5.0 | Open | -1.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1433 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 937 times (65.4%).
- The team like Michigan St. won the game 496 times (34.6%).
- The team like Michigan St. did better against the spread, going 710-680-43 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 83 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 4 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan St. did better against the spread, going 47-34-2 (58.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/24 10:28 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 10:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/24 09:40 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 09:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 09:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 08:43 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:22 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 06:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 06:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 06:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 05:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:01 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 03:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/24 02:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/24 01:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 01:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/24 12:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/24 12:37 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 12:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/24 11:16 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 10:16 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 09:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 09:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/24 09:07 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 09:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/24 08:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 02:10 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 12:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/23 10:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 11/23 08:44 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/23 07:58 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/23 04:59 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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