NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA LSU
Points 90.7 79.8
Total Points   170.5
Points From 2-Pointers 37.1 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 21.9
Points From Free Throws 17.9 19.4
Shooting ALA LSU
Field Goals Made 30.5 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 60.3
Field Goal % 47.8% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 59.4% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 17.9 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 26.5
Free Throw % 76.4% 73.3%
Ball Control ALA LSU
Rebounds 39.3 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.5
Turnovers 11.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.1 3.8
Steals 7.5 7.6
Fouls 16.8 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: LSU

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA LSU
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 78.2 76.0
% of Possessions with ALA LSU
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 24.4%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.8%
Turnover 14.4% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA LSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 28.0%