NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV UNH
Points 76.0 63.4
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 19.4
Points From Free Throws 12.2 8.3
Shooting HARV UNH
Field Goals Made 28.2 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 57.6
Field Goal % 50.7% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 62.1% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 21.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 29.8%
Free Throws Made 12.2 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 12.3
Free Throw % 77.0% 67.2%
Ball Control HARV UNH
Rebounds 34.4 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 8.4
Turnovers 11.5 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.2
Steals 7.2 5.7
Fouls 11.7 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Harvard

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV UNH
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 65.3
% of Possessions with HARV UNH
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 27.4%
Player Fouled 18.7% 16.9%
Turnover 16.5% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HARV UNH
Shot Blocked 3.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 23.8%