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Valparaiso at Vanderbilt
Fri Nov 27, 2020
7:00pm ET
Nashville, TN
Valparaiso at Vanderbilt: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Vanderbilt by 6, Total Points: 144
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | VAN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 15-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 10-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 8-10-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 7-6-1 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
Vanderbilt Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Presbyterian | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | SC Upstate | -11.5 | W by 7 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +1.0 | W by 4 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Central Ark | -19.5 | W by 4 | -15.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arizona St | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Boston Col | -2.5 | L by 18 | -20.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Alab A&M | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | San Francisco | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | W Carolina | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Memphis | +16.0 | L by 2 | +14.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Dartmouth | -13.5 | W by 16 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Alabama | +13.0 | L by 3 | +10.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | LSU | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 13 | -3.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Auburn | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Miss State | +13.0 | L by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Tennessee | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Auburn | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Missouri | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Kentucky | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Carolina | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Texas A&M | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Tennessee | +20.0 | L by 35 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Georgia | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Florida | +15.0 | L by 13 | +2.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | W by 3 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | LSU | +3.5 | L by 14 | -10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | L by 16 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Florida | +9.0 | W by 1 | +10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Arkansas | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| VAN -6.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -- | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2741 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5 to 7 points. In these games:
- The team like Vanderbilt won the game 1959 times (71.5%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 782 times (28.5%).
- The team like Vanderbilt did better against the spread, going 1369-1303-69 (51.2% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 9 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 4-3-2 (57.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/27 06:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 06:35 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:58 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:56 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:11 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 02:05 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:24 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:38 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/26 07:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/26 07:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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