NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP SIUE
Points 72.7 69.1
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.5 20.4
Points From Free Throws 12.4 12.2
Shooting VALP SIUE
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 60.8
Field Goal % 44.7% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.4 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 16.7
Free Throw % 70.2% 73.2%
Ball Control VALP SIUE
Rebounds 35.2 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 11.1
Turnovers 9.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.9
Steals 5.1 5.5
Fouls 13.2 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Valparaiso

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP SIUE
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 71.1
% of Possessions with VALP SIUE
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 24.6%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.9%
Turnover 13.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP SIUE
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 29.3%