NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HC AMER
Points 66.0 72.8
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 30.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 31.3
Points From Free Throws 8.8 11.0
Shooting HC AMER
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 54.5
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 29.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 41.2%
Free Throws Made 8.8 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 15.3
Free Throw % 66.3% 71.6%
Ball Control HC AMER
Rebounds 29.7 31.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 7.5
Turnovers 8.9 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 1.3
Steals 3.1 5.0
Fouls 14.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: American

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HC AMER
Total Possessions 63.1
Effective Scoring Chances 60.3 63.6
% of Possessions with HC AMER
2 Point Attempt 44.3% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 35.4%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.5%
Turnover 14.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HC AMER
Shot Blocked 2.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 24.2%