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Valparaiso at IL-Chicago
Tue Dec 1, 2020
7:00pm ET
Chicago, IL
Valparaiso at IL-Chicago: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Valparaiso by 1.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | VALP | adv | UIC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-13-0 | 15-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-9-0 | 7-14-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 6-10-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| Away | 12-3-0 | 9-8-1 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
IL-Chicago Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Cincinnati | +15.0 | L by 11 | +4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | AR Lit Rock | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +11.5 | W by 5 | +16.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Aurora | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | +3.5 | W by 30 | +33.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Geo Wshgtn | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | NC-Grnsboro | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Illinois St | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 12/08 | Away | Jksnville St | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -12.5 | L by 2 | -14.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Incar Word | -14.0 | L by 1 | -15.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | S Illinois | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Murray St | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Valparaiso | -12.5 | W by 6 | -6.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Bradley | +3.5 | L by 18 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Murray St | -1.0 | L by 15 | -16.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Valparaiso | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Indiana St | +11.0 | L by 6 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Belmont | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Evansville | (Pick) | L by 17 | -17.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Illinois | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Illinois St | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | N Iowa | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Bradley | +14.5 | L by 12 | +2.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Belmont | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Indiana St | +15.0 | L by 15 | 0.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Drake | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Missouri St | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Illinois | +6.0 | W by 2 | +8.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| VALP -1.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1633 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 885 times (54.2%).
- The team like Illinois-Chicago won the game 748 times (45.8%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 802-800-31 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 41 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 23-18 (56.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -2.0 | -1.5 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/01 07:00 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 06:32 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/01 05:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 04:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 04:17 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 03:59 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 03:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 02:53 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 02:08 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 12:53 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/01 12:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 11:45 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/01 11:39 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:56 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/01 10:08 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 12/01 09:56 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/01 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 12/01 09:41 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 08:20 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 02:56 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:45 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/30 09:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/30 07:29 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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