ATS Situational Trends

Record VALP adv ILST
Season 18-13-0 14-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 12-9-0 10-11-0
Streak L1 L3
Last 5 3-2-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 5-5-0
Home 6-10-0 7-8-0
Away 12-3-0 7-9-0

Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Trinity Christian -- W by 39 --
11/10 Home IUPUI -3.5 L by 10 -13.5
11/14 Home WI-Grn Bay -3.5 W by 5 +1.5
11/17 Away Illinois +29.5 L by 23 +6.5
11/21 Home W Illinois -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
11/25 Home Southern -3.0 W by 12 +9.0
11/29 Home Drake +14.0 L by 18 -4.0
12/02 Away Belmont +15.5 L by 9 +6.5
12/06 Away Central Mich +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
12/09 Away VA Tech +21.5 L by 21 +0.5
12/16 Home Chicago St -3.0 L by 1 -4.0
12/19 Home Samford +8.5 L by 18 -9.5
12/29 Away Elon +5.0 L by 4 +1.0
01/03 Home Bradley +10.5 L by 25 -14.5
01/06 Away IL-Chicago +12.5 L by 6 +6.5
01/10 Home S Illinois +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
01/14 Away Illinois St +10.0 W by 9 +19.0
01/17 Away Evansville +7.0 L by 3 +4.0
01/20 Home IL-Chicago +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
01/24 Away S Illinois +13.5 L by 6 +7.5
01/27 Home Missouri St +4.0 L by 11 -7.0
01/31 Away Drake +19.5 L by 11 +8.5
02/03 Home Evansville -1.5 L by 1 -2.5
02/07 Away Indiana St +20.5 L by 40 -19.5
02/10 Home Belmont +6.5 L by 18 -11.5
02/14 Home N Iowa +7.5 L by 19 -11.5
02/17 Away Missouri St +13.0 L by 8 +5.0
02/21 Home Indiana St +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
02/24 Away Murray St +13.0 L by 12 +1.0
02/27 Away N Iowa +16.0 L by 14 +2.0
03/03 Home Illinois St +5.5 W by 3 +8.5
03/07 Neutral Belmont +14.0 L by 25 -11.0

Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Lourdes -- W by 19 --
11/11 Away Saint Louis +8.5 L by 9 -0.5
11/15 Home E Illinois -13.0 W by 8 -5.0
11/20 Neutral Lg Beach St +6.5 W by 9 +15.5
11/21 Neutral High Point -1.5 L by 2 -3.5
11/22 Neutral Wright St +2.5 L by 25 -22.5
11/30 Away IL-Chicago +5.5 W by 5 +10.5
12/03 Home Murray St -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
12/06 Home N Kentucky -2.5 W by 3 +0.5
12/09 Home Norfolk St -6.0 L by 6 -12.0
12/17 Home N Dakota St -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
12/21 Home SE Missouri -14.0 W by 21 +7.0
12/29 Away Kentucky +20.0 L by 26 -6.0
01/02 Away Drake +12.5 L by 17 -4.5
01/06 Home S Illinois +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
01/10 Away Belmont +6.5 L by 7 -0.5
01/14 Home Valparaiso -10.0 L by 9 -19.0
01/17 Home Drake +7.5 L by 21 -13.5
01/20 Away Missouri St +6.5 W by 9 +15.5
01/23 Home Belmont -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
01/27 Away Evansville -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
01/30 Away Murray St +7.0 W by 2 +9.0
02/03 Home Bradley +6.5 L by 13 -6.5
02/07 Home IL-Chicago -4.5 L by 5 -9.5
02/10 Away S Illinois +8.0 L by 3 +5.0
02/13 Away Indiana St +17.5 W by 13 +30.5
02/18 Home Evansville -3.5 W by 7 +3.5
02/21 Home N Iowa +1.5 W by 8 +9.5
02/24 Away Bradley +12.5 L by 3 +9.5
02/28 Home Missouri St -4.5 W by 1 -3.5
03/03 Away Valparaiso -5.5 L by 3 -8.5
03/07 Neutral Evansville -3.5 L by 6 -9.5
ILST -2.0 Open -1.0 High -2.5
Last -2.5 Low -1.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2251 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Illinois St. won the game 1287 times (57.2%).
  • The team like Valparaiso won the game 964 times (42.8%).
  • The team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1152-1065-34 (52.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 152 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 81-71 (53.3% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -2.0 -2.0 -2.0
Open -1.5 -1.5 -1.5
History
01/23 05:26 PM -2.0 -- --
01/23 04:50 PM -2.0 -- --
01/23 04:14 PM -2.5 -- --
01/23 02:29 PM -2.0 -- --
01/23 12:44 PM -2.0 -- --
01/23 11:14 AM -- -2.0 --
01/23 11:05 AM -- -- -2.0
01/23 11:02 AM -2.0 -- --
01/23 10:24 AM -- -2.5 --
01/23 10:15 AM -- -- -1.5
01/23 10:08 AM -2.5 -- --
01/23 09:25 AM -- -- -2.0
01/23 09:05 AM -- -- -1.5
01/23 08:14 AM -- -2.0 --
01/23 08:08 AM -2.0 -- --
01/23 07:34 AM -- -1.5 --
01/23 05:17 AM -1.5 -- --
01/23 12:34 AM -- -1.5 --
01/23 12:20 AM -1.5 -- --
01/22 11:45 PM -- -- -1.0
01/22 10:05 PM -- -- -1.5
01/22 07:47 PM -1.5 -- --
01/22 06:34 PM -- -1.5 --
01/22 05:34 PM -- -1.5 --
01/22 05:26 PM -1.5 -- --