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Iowa St at Baylor
Tue Feb 23, 2021
8:00pm ET
Waco, TX
Iowa St at Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 24, Total Points: 148.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ISU | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-11-1 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-1 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 14-4-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 11-7-1 | 10-7-1 |
Iowa St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -28.5 | W by 41 | +12.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Lindenwood | -32.5 | W by 55 | +22.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Idaho St | -27.0 | W by 31 | +4.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Grambling St | -27.5 | W by 55 | +27.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | VCU | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | VA Tech | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | DePaul | -14.5 | W by 19 | +4.5 |
| 12/07 | Home | Iowa | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Prairie View | -27.5 | W by 51 | +23.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Florida A&M | -36.0 | W by 38 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | E Illinois | -31.5 | W by 32 | +0.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | N Hampshire | -28.0 | W by 15 | -13.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Oklahoma St | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | BYU | +4.0 | L by 15 | -11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX Christian | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Kansas St | -8.5 | W by 11 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Baylor | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Texas | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | TX Christian | -8.0 | W by 12 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Cincinnati | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | Houston | +8.0 | L by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | W Virginia | -18.0 | W by 7 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oklahoma | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | BYU | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Kansas St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kansas St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Houston | +5.5 | W by 28 | +33.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Wash State | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Illinois | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -24.0 | Open | -24.5 | High | -24.5 |
| Last | -23.5 | Low | -23.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 312 games where the closing line favored the home team by 23 to 25 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 307 times (98.4%).
- The team like Iowa State won the game 5 times (1.6%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 158-149-5 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 578 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Iowa State did better against the spread, going 283-269-26 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -24.0 | -24.0 | -24.0 |
| Open | -24.0 | -24.0 | -24.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/23 07:59 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 07:14 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 02/23 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -24.0 |
| 02/23 06:56 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 06:44 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:59 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 05:29 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 04:05 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 02:05 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 01:47 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 12:41 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:32 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 11:08 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 10:44 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 10:35 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 10:17 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 09:38 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 08:17 AM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 07:45 AM | -- | -- | -23.5 |
| 02/23 07:44 AM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 02/23 06:05 AM | -- | -- | -23.0 |
| 02/23 01:02 AM | -23.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/23 12:04 AM | -- | -23.0 | -- |
| 02/22 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -24.0 |
| 02/22 05:34 PM | -- | -24.0 | -- |
| 02/22 05:26 PM | -24.0 | -- | -- |
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