NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU CREI
Points 68.4 70.2
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 31.3
Points From Free Throws 7.8 12.3
Shooting ISU CREI
Field Goals Made 27.6 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 67.9 53.5
Field Goal % 40.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 52.3 22.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 15.5 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 7.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 11.0 15.3
Free Throw % 70.8% 80.8%
Ball Control ISU CREI
Rebounds 34.0 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 7.6
Turnovers 5.9 14.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 8.5 3.2
Fouls 13.7 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: Creighton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU CREI
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 63.2
% of Possessions with ISU CREI
2 Point Attempt 64.3% 28.5%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 39.8%
Player Fouled 15.5% 19.7%
Turnover 8.5% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 4.5% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU CREI
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 24.4%